Unemployment climbs to 5-year high of 6.1 percent
JEANNINE AVERSA | 9/17/2008, 5:12 a.m.
WASHINGTON — The nation’s unemployment rate bolted above the psychologically important 6 percent level last month for the first time in five years — and it’s likely to go even higher in the months ahead, possibly throwing the economy into a tailspin as Americans pick a new president.
A blizzard of pink slips propelled the jobless rate from 5.7 percent in July to 6.1 percent in August, the Labor Department reported earlier this month. Such a sharp increase is usually a strong recession warning, and it dashed investors’ hopes for a late-year recovery.
By historical standards, the country is far from the employment carnage seen more than two decades ago, when unemployment climbed above 10 percent during President Ronald Reagan’s first term in the early 1980s.
Still, some groups are being hit harder than others. The jobless rate for blacks jumped to 10.6 percent last month, the highest since late 2005. The unemployment rate for Hispanics rose to 8 percent, a five-year high.
Worried about the economy and their own business prospects, employers cut payrolls by 84,000 in August, marking the eighth straight month of losses.
So far this year, a staggering 605,000 jobs have vanished — slightly less than the population of Alaska. The economy needs to generate more than 100,000 new jobs per month for employment to remain stable.
“While the candidates and the delegates were focused on who is going to be the next president, millions of Americans were wondering who was going to provide them with their next paycheck,” National Urban League President and CEO Marc H. Morial wrote in a recent column.
“There’s no doubt about it, we are in a recession,” he continued. “Unemployment continues to rise, consumer spending continues to fall, the housing market is in real trouble and it’s tougher than ever to get a bank loan.”
Richard Yamarone, economist at Argus Research, feared that the jobless rate would cause consumers and businesses to “move from a moderately concerned stage to outright fear” and reduce their spending even more.
A toxic trio of housing, credit and financial problems has badly shaken the economy, and the crisis shows no signs of letting up. It’s the public’s top worry, and many experts believe the situation will get worse before it gets better.
The unemployment increase means many companies will feel pressure to reduce their business investments — either in capital projects or hiring — for the rest of the year.
“Mix business caution with consumer exhaustion and you have a recipe for a real recession,” said Terry Connelly, dean of Golden Gate University’s Ageno School of Business.
At an unemployment center in St. Louis, Kimbel Adams could recite the exact date he was let go from his job as a hospital security guard — April 8. Since then, he has applied for 10 or 15 jobs, with little luck.
“Most of the jobs you can get, it’s hard to make a living off. I could always work at a fast food restaurant and struggle to pay the bills,” Adams said.